West Ham Utd vs Nottingham Forest Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Their recent conversion outpaces xG by 33%. If chance volume drops, the goals could dry up

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West Ham United

Last 9 home games3W · 1D · 5L · 33% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.6 goals per game (xG expected: 1.4)

Above expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.4)

Below expected

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 away games4W · 0D · 6L · 40% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 0.9)

On track

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Player
Bowen WHU	0.51	0.36	2.13	70
Wood NFO	0.55	0.49	1.93	74
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

West Ham United

Nottingham Forest

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

NFO(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.719th

0.349th

0.3212th

0.391st

0.531st

0.165th

0.0317th

0.186th

0.165th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

West Ham UtdWest Ham
3-2
Nottingham ForestForest
Paquetà 2'
Bowen 64'
Souček

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Nottingham Forest formWDWDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

WHU

NFO

WHU