Wolverhampton vs Crystal Palace Preview: What the xG Data Says

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

CRY concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where WOL focus their attacks

FavoursWOLSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Goals are diverging from expected levels on both sides, suggesting regression could hit either team's attack

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Three straight defeats will affect their approach. Expect a cautious opening from WOL

FavoursCRYSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Last 10 home games1W · 2D · 7L · 10% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

0.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Below expected

1.8 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Crystal Palace

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (wasteful in front of goal)

1.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.2)

Below expected

1.3 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.6)

Above expected

Player
Mateta CRY	0.50	0.41	1.61	-
Hee-Chan WOL	0.44	0.34	1.51	13
Johnson CRY	0.53	0.34	1.75	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WOL(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.58

0.767th

0.394th

0.397th

0.1117th

0.298th

0.1310th

0.184th

0.169th

0.166th

CRY(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.50

0.5015th

0.395th

0.3710th

0.342nd

0.299th

0.166th

0.1111th

0.1312th

0.212nd

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the channel advantage actually produce chances?

Did finishing regression show up, or did luck hold?

Did the struggling side show signs of recovery?

Come back after the final whistle.

WolverhamptonWolves
1-3
Crystal PalaceC. Palace
Cunha 65'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

WOL

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

WOL

CRY

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

CRY

WOL

CRY

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Crystal Palace formDLLDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

CRY

WOL

CRY