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See full analysisCan Newcastle United defy the xG gap? 1st-placed Arsenal (1.8 xG/match) host 9th-placed Newcastle United (1.6 xG/match). Arsenal sit on 69 points against 60 expected, suggesting some regression may be due. B. Saka leads the combined threat with 13.9 xGI in 27 appearances for Arsenal.
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ARS concede just 0.9 xGA per match vs NEW's 2.4. That gap should show in chance quality
FavoursARSSubscribers see the evidence behind thisCombined xG profiles point to 3.0+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start
Subscribers see the evidence behind thisStrong at home
Solid form (solid defence)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
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In-form players who could decide this match
N. Woltemade
CF