Aston Villa 3-1 Nottingham Forest Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (03 Jan 2026)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
3	118	Aston Villa	21	43	+9
17	143	Nottingham Forest	21	21	-13

Aston Villa

Clinical finishingDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.8 goals per match (expected 1.6)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 1.8)

Nottingham Forest

Wasteful in front of goal

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.5)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 1.3)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Aston Villa

Nottingham Forest

Tactical Analysis

See attacking zones, vulnerabilities, and players to watch.

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

AVL(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2917th

0.1217th

0.1816th

0.0617th

0.1813th

0.296th

0.128th

0.246th

0.0019th

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Who controlled the tempo?

Come back after the final whistle.

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Aston VillaVilla 3 - 1 Nottingham ForestForest

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Aston Villa

Attacking Zones

Tactical Analysis

Positional Vulnerabilities

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Head to Head

Recent Form

Nottingham Forest

Players to Watch