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See full analysis3.3 combined xG/match points to goals 15th-placed Bournemouth (1.6 xG/match) host 10th-placed Leeds United (1.7 xG/match). Bournemouth have 32 points but their underlying data suggests 45 expected points, hinting at better results ahead. D. Calvert-Lewin leads the combined threat with 14.1 xGI in 28 appearances for Bournemouth.
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BOU concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where LEE focus their attacks
FavoursLEESubscribers see the evidence behind thisGoals are diverging from expected levels on both sides, suggesting regression could hit either team's attack
Subscribers see the evidence behind thisBoth teams defend high and press aggressively, which typically opens space in behind and increases transition frequency
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BournemouthStruggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)
Leeds UnitedStruggling away (wasteful in front of goal)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
Bournemouth
Leeds UnitedSee your squad's players in this match
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BOU(17 matches)LEE(17 matches)Bournemouth formIn-form players who could decide this match
B. Aaronson
WG
