Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa Preview: What the xG Data Says

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Pre-Match Signals

A stark contrast in approach: CRY skip the midfield while AVL control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Crystal Palace

Last 10 home games2W · 3D · 5L · 20% wins

Struggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)

0.8 goals per game (xG expected: 1.7)

Underperforming

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.5)

On track

Aston Villa

Last 10 away games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form

1.5 goals per game (xG expected: 1.5)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Crystal Palace

I. Sarr

CAM0.73

xGI/90

0.73

Goals vs xG

2G vs 2.6

Assists vs xA

0A vs 0.5

A. Wharton

1G 0A0.55 xGI

J. Strand Larsen

0G 0A0.33 xGI

B. Johnson

CAM

0G 0A0.33 xGI

Aston Villa

O. Watkins

CF0.89

xGI/90

0.89

Goals vs xG

5G vs 4.2

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.0

M. Rogers

CAM

1G 1A0.26 xGI

Player
Watkins AVL	0.55	0.49	2.28	91
Mateta CRY	0.57	0.41	2.15	87
Abraham AVL	0.58	0.55	2.52	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Crystal Palace

Aston Villa

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CRY(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.4712th

0.1814th

0.2412th

0.248th

0.0617th

0.1217th

0.0615th

0.0618th

0.0617th

AVL(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2917th

0.1217th

0.1816th

0.0617th

0.1813th

0.296th

0.128th

0.246th

0.0019th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
0-0
Aston VillaVilla

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

CRY

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

CRY

AVL

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

CRY

AVL

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Aston Villa formLLLWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

CRY

AVL