Everton 2-1 Crystal Palace Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (05 Oct 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
12	153	Everton	20	28	-2
14	86	Crystal Palace	20	27	-1

Everton

Defence outperforming xGANegative xG balance

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.2)
•Conceding 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.7)

Crystal Palace

Wasteful in front of goalLeaky at the back

•Scoring 0.7 goals per match (expected 1.4)
•Conceding 2.0 goals per match (expected 1.7)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Everton

Crystal Palace

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

EVE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.18

0.4713th

0.0619th

0.3510th

0.1216th

0.2410th

0.1815th

0.185th

0.292nd

0.293rd

CRY(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.4712th

0.1814th

0.2412th

0.248th

0.0617th

0.1217th

0.0615th

0.0618th

0.0617th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Did finishing variance continue or regress?

Did the highlighted mismatch actually drive xG?

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EvertonEverton 2 - 1 Crystal PalaceC. Palace

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Everton

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

Crystal Palace

Players to Watch