Leeds Utd 1-2 Aston Villa Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (23 Nov 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
3	96	Aston Villa	16	33	+8
17	710	Leeds Utd	16	16	-10

Expected Performance

What the recent data tells us to expect

Leeds United

Leaky at the back

vs Goals p match

1.7 xG

1.8 Goals

As Expected

Conceded

1.6 xGA

2.2 Conceded

Underperforming

Aston Villa

Clinical finishingDominant on xG balance

vs Goals p match

2.0 xG

2.7 Goals

Overperforming

Conceded

1.3 xGA

1.2 Conceded

Overperforming

Weak

30% win rate

3 Wins

4 Draws

3 Losses

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Leeds United

Aston Villa

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

LEE(15 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.07

0.676th

0.339th

0.601st

0.335th

0.278th

0.209th

0.0712th

0.1313th

0.471st

AVL(15 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.33

0.2718th

0.1317th

0.2013th

0.0020th

0.1314th

0.276th

0.0717th

0.274th

0.0019th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Did the highlighted mismatch actually drive xG?

Who controlled the tempo: Leeds United or Aston Villa?

Return after full-time to see how these played out.

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Leeds UtdLeeds Utd 1 - 2 Aston VillaVilla

Expected Goals

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Performance

Match Expectations

vs Goals p match

Conceded

vs Goals p match

Conceded

Leeds United Home Form

Tactical Analysis

Leeds United

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

vs Goals p match

Conceded

Aston Villa Away Form

vs Goals p match

Conceded

Aston Villa

Players to Watch