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See full analysisLeeds United hold the xG edge but margins are slim 15th-placed Leeds United (1.6 xG/match) host 19th-placed Burnley (0.9 xG/match). Leeds United have 32 points but their underlying data suggests 45 expected points, hinting at better results ahead. D. Calvert-Lewin leads the combined threat with 14.1 xGI in 28 appearances for Leeds United.
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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from LEE
FavoursLEESubscribers see the evidence behind thisLEE concede just 1.5 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.3. That gap should show in chance quality
FavoursLEESubscribers see the evidence behind thisCombined xG profiles point to 3.1+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start
Subscribers see the evidence behind thisSolid form
Struggling away (clinical finishing)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
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In-form players who could decide this match
L. Tchaouna
WG
Player | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.57 | 0.42 | 1.95 | 93 | |||
| 0.72 | 0.44 | 1.91 | 75 | |||
| 0.46 | 0.03 | 1.88 | - |