Liverpool vs Aston Villa Preview: What the xG Data Says

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Pre-Match Signals

LIV concede disproportionate xG through their left side, exactly where AVL focus their attacks

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Liverpool

Last 10 home games5W · 4D · 1L · 50% wins

Solid form (solid defence)

1.9 goals per game (xG expected: 1.8)

On track

0.9 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

Above expected

Aston Villa

Last 10 away games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form

1.5 goals per game (xG expected: 1.5)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Liverpool

D. Szoboszlai

CAM0.43

xGI/90

0.43

Goals vs xG

1G vs 0.6

Assists vs xA

3A vs 1.8

C. Gakpo

1G 0A0.44 xGI

A. Mac Allister

CAM

0G 1A0.24 xGI

R. Ngumoha

0G 1A0.27 xGI

Aston Villa

O. Watkins

CF0.89

xGI/90

0.89

Goals vs xG

5G vs 4.2

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.0

M. Rogers

CAM

1G 1A0.26 xGI

Player
Watkins AVL	0.55	0.49	2.28	91
Abraham AVL	0.58	0.55	2.52	-
Chiesa LIV	0.56	0.32	2.23	1

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Liverpool

Aston Villa

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

LIV(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.35

0.3515th

0.2911th

0.416th

0.1813th

0.295th

0.2411th

0.292nd

0.1214th

0.187th

AVL(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2917th

0.1217th

0.1816th

0.0617th

0.1813th

0.296th

0.128th

0.246th

0.0019th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

LiverpoolLiverpool
2-0
Aston VillaVilla
Salah 45'
Gravenberch 57'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

LIV

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

LIV

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

LIV

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Aston Villa formLLLWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

AVL

AVL

LIV