Nottingham Forest 3-1 Brentford Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (17 Aug 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(2 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
5	105	Brentford	21	33	+7
17	134	Nottingham Forest	21	21	-13

Nottingham Forest

Wasteful in front of goal

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.5)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 1.3)

Brentford

Clinical finishingDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 2.3 goals per match (expected 1.8)
•Conceding 0.7 goals per match (expected 1.6)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Nottingham Forest

Brentford

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

BRE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.12

0.761st

0.2412th

0.414th

0.246th

0.0616th

0.293rd

0.0612th

0.0019th

0.0613th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Who controlled the tempo: Nottingham Forest or Brentford?

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Nottingham ForestForest 3 - 1 BrentfordBrentford

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(2 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Nottingham Forest

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

Brentford

Players to Watch