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See full analysisLow xG on both sides suggests a tight tactical battle 17th-placed Nottingham Forest (1.3 xG/match) host 19th-placed Burnley (0.9 xG/match). Nottingham Forest have 29 points but their underlying data suggests 38 expected points, hinting at better results ahead. M. Gibbs-White leads the combined threat with 10.9 xGI in 31 appearances for Nottingham Forest.
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NFO concede just 1.5 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.3. That gap should show in chance quality
FavoursNFOSubscribers see the evidence behind thisCombined xG profiles point to 3.0+ goals. Expect early action rather than a cagey start
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Nottingham ForestStruggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)
BurnleyStruggling away (clinical finishing)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
Nottingham Forest
BurnleyNFO(16 matches)BUR(17 matches)See your squad's players in this match
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Nottingham Forest formIn-form players who could decide this match
L. Tchaouna
WG
