Nottingham Forest 0-3 Chelsea Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (18 Oct 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
8	44	Chelsea	21	31	+10
17	143	Nottingham Forest	21	21	-13

Nottingham Forest

Wasteful in front of goal

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.5)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 1.3)

Chelsea

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.5 goals per match (expected 2.3)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 2.0)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based

Direct

Low Block

High Press

Nottingham Forest

Chelsea

Tactical Analysis

See attacking zones, vulnerabilities, and players to watch.

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

CHE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.71

0.598th

0.1218th

0.1817th

0.0618th

0.296th

0.0620th

0.129th

0.189th

0.1210th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Positional Vulnerabilities

See where each team concedes goals by position.

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Did either side beat their xG?

Did finishing luck hold?

Which weakness got exposed?

Come back after the final whistle.

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Nottingham ForestForest 0 - 3 ChelseaChelsea

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis