Nottingham Forest 0-1 Sunderland Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (27 Sep 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
8	1911	Sunderland	20	30	+2
17	143	Nottingham Forest	20	18	-14

Nottingham Forest

Wasteful in front of goalLeaky at the back

•Scoring 0.8 goals per match (expected 1.4)
•Conceding 1.8 goals per match (expected 1.3)

Sunderland

Defence outperforming xGANegative xG balance

•Scoring 0.5 goals per match (expected 0.7)
•Conceding 0.8 goals per match (expected 1.9)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Nottingham Forest

Sunderland

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

SUN(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2916th

0.356th

0.2911th

0.0020th

0.248th

0.1216th

0.0019th

0.1212th

0.0616th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Did finishing variance continue or regress?

Who controlled the tempo: Nottingham Forest or Sunderland?

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Nottingham ForestForest 0 - 1 SunderlandSunderland

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Nottingham Forest

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

Sunderland

Players to Watch