Tottenham 3-0 Burnley Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (16 Aug 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
13	141	Tottenham	20	27	+4
19	201	Burnley	20	12	-19

Tottenham Hotspur

Wasteful in front of goal

•Scoring 0.8 goals per match (expected 1.2)
•Conceding 1.0 goals per match (expected 1.2)

Burnley

Wasteful in front of goalNegative xG balance

•Scoring 0.8 goals per match (expected 1.1)
•Conceding 1.8 goals per match (expected 1.7)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Tottenham Hotspur

Burnley

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

TOT(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.18

0.3514th

0.593rd

0.1815th

0.355th

0.0618th

0.295th

0.0617th

0.188th

0.129th

BUR(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.82

0.763rd

0.535th

0.472nd

0.1215th

0.1812th

0.294th

0.0613th

0.245th

0.186th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Did finishing variance continue or regress?

Which vulnerability was exploited most?

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TottenhamTottenham 3 - 0 BurnleyBurnley

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(3 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Tottenham Hotspur

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

Burnley

Players to Watch