Wolverhampton 0-1 Nottingham Forest Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (03 Dec 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(5 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
16	106	Nottingham Forest	16	18	-8
20	191	Wolverhampton	16	2	-26

Expected Performance

What the recent data tells us to expect

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGANegative xG balance

vs Goals p match

0.6 xG

0.3 Goals

Underperforming

Conceded

2.4 xGA

2.2 Conceded

Overperforming

Nottingham Forest

Dominant on xG balance

vs Goals p match

1.6 xG

1.7 Goals

As Expected

Conceded

1.1 xGA

1.0 Conceded

As Expected

Weak

No wins yet

2 Draws

8 Losses

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Nottingham Forest

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

WOL(15 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.67

0.804th

0.406th

0.407th

0.402nd

0.731st

0.1316th

0.401st

0.0717th

0.332nd

NFO(15 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.27

0.538th

0.338th

0.405th

0.1314th

0.2011th

0.274th

0.0711th

0.1311th

0.205th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Did the highlighted mismatch actually drive xG?

Did finishing variance continue or regress?

Return after full-time to see how these played out.

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WolverhamptonWolves 0 - 1 Nottingham ForestForest

Expected Goals

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Performance

Match Expectations

vs Goals p match

Conceded

vs Goals p match

Conceded

Wolverhampton Wanderers Home Form

Tactical Analysis

Wolverhampton Wanderers

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

vs Goals p match

Conceded

Nottingham Forest Away Form

vs Goals p match

Conceded

Nottingham Forest

Players to Watch