Aston Villa vs Tottenham Hotspur preview, 30 May 2027: xG form

Aston Villa favoured at home, but only just.

AVL47%Draw27%TOT26%

Based on 12 matches played this season.

Villa1.6Tottenham1.1

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Aston Villa attack134 chances

PROAston Villa attack report PROTottenham Hotspur defence report

PROAston Villa shape report PROTottenham Hotspur shape report

Aston Villa lean right too, straight into Tottenham Hotspur's stronger side.

Tottenham Hotspur attack205 chances

42%85 / 205

11%23 / 205

47%97 / 205

LeftCentreRight

LW0.20

CF0.40

RW0.40

CAM0.40

CDM0.60

CM0.00

LB0.20

CB0.00

RB0.40

Tottenham Hotspur lean right too, straight into Aston Villa's stronger side.

Your squad in this match

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Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1Savinho(C)MF	£6.5m	0.7%

PROFantasy hub, projections

38%called correctly

Error score

4% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.219 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

35%·49

50-60%

43%·7

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 60 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

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Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1Savinho(C)MF	£6.5m	0.7%

PROFantasy hub, projections

Aston Villa Player	Routine	Taken	xG
McGinn	Corners L and R, 2 short	9	0.0
McGinn	Free kicks	7	0.0
Cash	Throw-ins	5	0.0
Buendía	Corners L, 1 short	4	0.7

Share of set-play xG

Corners

71%

Free kicks

20%

Tottenham Hotspur Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Savinho	Corners L and R, 3 short	12	0.7
Tel	Corners L, 1 short	7	0.0
Fernandes	Corners L, 1 short	5	0.2
Maddison

PROAston Villa set pieces PROTottenham Hotspur set pieces

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Aston VillaVilla
vs
Tottenham HotspurTottenham

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players

Aston VillaVillavsTottenham HotspurTottenham

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Aston Villa formLDLWD, most recent

Tottenham Hotspur formLDDLD, most recent

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players

Aston VillaVilla
vs
Tottenham HotspurTottenham