Brighton & Hove Albion vs Tottenham Hotspur preview, 20 Feb 2027: xG form

Brighton favoured at home, but only just.

BHA47%Draw27%TOT26%

Based on 12 matches played this season.

Brighton1.6Tottenham1.1

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Brighton attack192 chances

PROBrighton attack report PROTottenham Hotspur defence report

PROBrighton shape report PROTottenham Hotspur shape report

Tottenham Hotspur attack205 chances

42%85 / 205

11%23 / 205

47%97 / 205

LeftCentreRight

LW0.20

CF0.40

RW0.40

CAM0.40

CDM0.60

CM0.00

LB0.20

CB0.00

RB0.40

Tottenham Hotspur create most through the right, without a clear opening there.

Your squad in this match

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Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1P. Groß(C)MF	£6m	37.9%
2M. De CuyperDF	£5.1m	33.7%
3Savinho

PROFantasy hub, projections

38%called correctly

Error score

4% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.219 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

35%·49

50-60%

43%·7

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 60 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.

Sync my FPL squad

Team ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1P. Groß(C)MF	£6m	37.9%
2M. De CuyperDF	£5.1m	33.7%
3Savinho

PROFantasy hub, projections

Brighton Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 2 short	19	1.5
Cuyper	Corners R, 1 short	13	0.6
Groß	Free kicks	8	0.4
Boscagli	Free kicks	6	0.3
Cuyper	Throw-ins	4	0.1
Groß	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

48%

Throw-ins

27%

Tottenham Hotspur Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Savinho	Corners L and R, 3 short	12	0.7
Tel	Corners L, 1 short	7	0.0
Fernandes	Corners L, 1 short	5	0.2
Maddison

PROBrighton set pieces PROTottenham Hotspur set pieces

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton
vs
Tottenham HotspurTottenham

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Brighton formLDWWW, most recent

Tottenham Hotspur formLDDLD, most recent

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players