Manchester City vs AFC Bournemouth preview, 23 Aug 2026: xG form

This match has been played.

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MCI50%

Draw25%

BOU25%

MCIMan City1.9BOUBournemouth1.3

Actual xG 2.1 - 0.6 -0.7 Bournemouth

Manchester City attack207 chances

PROManchester City attack report PROBournemouth defence report

PROManchester City shape report PROBournemouth shape report

Manchester City's left side carries the load, and it meets Bournemouth's softest flank.

Bournemouth attack148 chances

45%67 / 148

16%24 / 148

39%57 / 148

LeftCentreRight

LW0.60

CF0.20

RW0.00

CAM0.60

CDM0.40

LB0.40

CB0.20

RB0.00

Bournemouth lean left too, straight into Manchester City's stronger side.

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PROFantasy hub, projections

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

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PROFantasy hub, projections

Manchester City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Anderson	Corners L and R	9	0.2
Cherki	Corners L and R, 5 short	9	0.3
Foden	Corners L and R, 1 short	7	0.3
Fernández	Corners L and R, 1 short	5	0.5
Cherki	Free kicks	3	0.0
Fernández	Free kicks	3	0.3

Share of set-play xG

Corners

68%

Throw-ins

21%

Bournemouth Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Scott	Corners L and R, 2 short	11	0.4
Tavernier	Corners R, 2 short	9	1.0
Hill	Throw-ins	8	0.0
Scott

PROManchester City set pieces PROBournemouth set pieces

Player	Rating					Rotation
E. HaalandCF · Manchester City	7.7#1	47%	6%	0.77	90%	Medium	0.74
A. SemenyoWG · Manchester City	--	29%	11%	0.47	98%	Medium	0.06
EvanilsonCF · Bournemouth	5.9#17	24%	3%	0.40	77%	Medium	0.29
M. TavernierWG · Bournemouth	--	19%	8%	0.37	80%	Medium	0.14
Marc GuéhiCB · Manchester City	7.3#5	14%	6%	0.23	92%	Medium	0.05
N. O'ReillyCAM · Manchester City	--	14%	5%	0.28	73%	Medium	0.15

45 more players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Manchester CityMan City
2-1
AFC BournemouthBournemouth
Guéhi 83'
Gvardiol 90'

Set-piece takers

Key players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players