Newcastle United vs Everton prediction, 2 Nov 2026: xG model

Newcastle United favoured at home, but only just.

NEW40%Draw28%EVE31%

Based on 16 matches played this season.

Newcastle1.5Everton1.3

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

PRONewcastle United shape report PROEverton shape report

Where each side attacks, where the other concedes, and the biggest mismatch between them.

Your squad in this match

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Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1T. Barry(C)FW	£5.7m	8.6%
2K. Dewsbury-HallMF	£6.6m	5.6%

PROMy Team, projections

39%called correctly

Error score

6% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.225 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

33%·66

50-60%

56%·9

60-70%

75%·4

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 80 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

See which of your FPL players are in this match, who's nailed and who's a rotation risk, on every match preview.

Sync my FPL squad

Team ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1T. Barry(C)FW	£5.7m	8.6%
2K. Dewsbury-HallMF	£6.6m	5.6%

PROMy Team, projections

Newcastle United Player	Routine	Taken	xG
L. Hall	Corners L and R, 5 short
L. Hall	Free kicks
H. Barnes	Corners L
Nico González	Free kicks
J. Murphy	Corners L and R
Y. Wissa	Penalties

Everton Player	Routine	Taken	xG
K. Dewsbury-Hall	Corners R, 5 short
J. Garner	Corners L, 2 short
V. Mykolenko	Throw-ins

Player	Rating	Score	Assist	xGI/90	Mins
H. BarnesWG · Newcastle United
JoelintonCM · Newcastle United
W. OsulaCF · Newcastle United
Y. WissaCF · Newcastle United
K. Dewsbury-HallCAM · Everton
T. BarryCF · Everton

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle
vs
EvertonEverton

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle
vs
EvertonEverton

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle
vs
EvertonEverton

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities Locked, Pro.

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers Locked, Pro.

Key players Locked, Pro.

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities Locked, Pro.

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Newcastle United formLWLLW, most recent

Everton formDWDLL, most recent

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers Locked, Pro.

Key players Locked, Pro.