Newcastle Utd vs Hull City preview, 19 Sep 2026: xG form

Premier League 2026/2027

GW5

19 Sep 14:00

T. Harrington

This match has been played.

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NEW44%

Draw28%

HUL28%

NEWNewcastle1.5HULHull City1.2

Actual xG 1.8 - 2.1 +1.0 Hull City

Newcastle United attack150 chances

PROHull City attack report PRONewcastle United defence report

Central playVery wide

PRONewcastle United shape report PROHull City shape report

Hull City attack152 chances

54%82 / 152

10%16 / 152

36%54 / 152

LeftCentreRight

LW0.60

CF0.40

RW0.00

CAM0.20

CDM0.20

CM0.00

LB0.20

CB0.00

RB0.00

Hull City's left side carries the load, and it meets Newcastle United's softest flank.

Your squad in this match

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PROFantasy hub, projections

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

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PROFantasy hub, projections

Newcastle United Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Hall	Corners L and R, 4 short	13	0.1
Hall	Free kicks	9	0.2
Barnes	Corners L	3	0.0
Elanga	Corners L	3	0.4
Wissa	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

41%

Penalties

29%

Hull City Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Belloumi	Throw-ins	8	0.2
Belloumi	Corners R, 1 short	6	0.0
Slater	Corners L	5	0.4
Coyle

PRONewcastle United set pieces PROHull City set pieces

Player	Rating					Rotation
H. BarnesWG · Newcastle United	--	23%	4%	0.37	82%	Low	0.12
Y. WissaCF · Newcastle United	5.9#18	18%	1%	0.33	64%	Low	0.07
O. McBurnieCF · Hull City	5.1#21	16%	1%	0.19	100%	Low	0.54
M. ThiawCB · Newcastle United	5.9#39	15%	1%	0.18	100%	Low	0.00
S. BotmanCB · Newcastle United	6.5#15	15%	2%	0.18	98%	Low	0.19
S. AjayiCB · Hull City	6.4#18	15%	0%	0.16	100%	Low	0.00

66 more players

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
2-1
Hull CityHull City
Willock 2'
Hall 6'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players