Newcastle United vs Tottenham Hotspur preview, 26 Mar 2027: xG form

Newcastle United favoured at home, but only just.

NEW42%Draw28%TOT30%

Based on 12 matches played this season.

Newcastle1.5Tottenham1.2

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Newcastle United attack150 chances

PROTottenham Hotspur attack report PRONewcastle United defence report

PRONewcastle United shape report PROTottenham Hotspur shape report

Tottenham Hotspur attack205 chances

42%85 / 205

11%23 / 205

47%97 / 205

LeftCentreRight

LW0.20

CF0.40

RW0.40

CAM0.40

CDM0.60

CM0.00

LB0.20

CB0.00

RB0.40

Tottenham Hotspur's left side carries the load, and it meets Newcastle United's softest flank.

Your squad in this match

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Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1Savinho(C)MF	£6.5m	0.7%

PROFantasy hub, projections

38%called correctly

Error score

4% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.209 against 0.219 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

35%·49

50-60%

43%·7

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 60 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Your squad in this match

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Team ID only. Takes 30 seconds. Free.

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1Savinho(C)MF	£6.5m	0.7%

PROFantasy hub, projections

Newcastle United Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Hall	Corners L and R, 5 short	16	0.1
Hall	Free kicks	9	0.2
Barnes	Corners L	5	0.0
Elanga	Corners L	3	0.4
Wissa	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

39%

Penalties

28%

Tottenham Hotspur Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Savinho	Corners L and R, 3 short	12	0.7
Tel	Corners L, 1 short	7	0.0
Fernandes	Corners L, 1 short	5	0.2
Maddison

PRONewcastle United set pieces PROTottenham Hotspur set pieces

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Newcastle UnitedNewcastle
vs
Tottenham HotspurTottenham

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Newcastle United formWDLWL, most recent

Tottenham Hotspur formLDDLD, most recent

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Set-piece takers

Key players