Brentford vs Newcastle Utd preview, 19 May 2024: xG form

This match has been played.

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BRE favoured at home, but only just.

BRE47%Draw22%NEW31%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brentford1.9Newcastle1.6

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

BRE attack

LW0.37

CF0.76

RW0.42

CAM0.16

CDM0.13

CM0.32

LB0.24

CB0.26

RB0.21

PROBRE attack report PRONEW defence report

LightPhysically dominant

PROBRE shape report PRONEW shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
K. Lewis-PotterWG · BRE	--	35%	7%	0.81	61%	Medium	0.07
A. GordonWG · NEW	--	28%	16%	0.51	100%	Low	0.06
Bruno GuimarãesCM · NEW	--	13%	9%	0.24	100%	Low	0.13
D. BurnFB · NEW	--	12%	3%	0.15	100%	Low	0.02
K. SchadeWG · BRE	--	12%	3%	0.58	28%	High	0.32
J. MurphyWG · NEW	--	11%	15%	0.38	72%	Medium	0.13

36 more players

BRE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Jensen	Corners L and R, 15 short	65	3.0
Jensen	Throw-ins	60	0.9
Mbeumo	Corners L and R, 9 short	44	2.1
Jensen	Free kicks	37	1.7
Reguilón	Corners L and R, 8 short	28	1.4
Mbeumo	Penalties	3	2.3

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

26%

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	111	4.1
Trippier	Free kicks	73	3.3
Gordon	Corners L and R, 11 short	48	1.8
Isak

PROBRE set pieces PRONEW set pieces

BrentfordBrentford
2-4
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Janelt 47'
Wissa 69'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers