Chelsea vs Fulham preview, 13 Jan 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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CHE favoured at home, but only just.

CHE50%Draw22%FUL27%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Chelsea2.0Fulham1.4

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

CHE attack

LW0.34

CF0.61

RW0.34

CAM0.18

CDM0.13

CM0.42

LB0.08

CB0.16

RB0.16

PROCHE attack report PROFUL defence report

Very centralWide play

PROCHE shape report PROFUL shape report

Premier League 2023/2024

GW21

13 Jan 12:30

A. Taylor

FUL attack

LW0.29

CF0.74

RW0.32

CAM0.29

CDM0.11

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.08

RB0.11

Last 6, goals vs xG

CHE16 scored from 11.0 xG+5.0

FUL8 scored from 9.5 xG-1.5

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very lightFairly physical

Patient build-upPossession-based

Very cautiousCautious

Very low intensityLow intensity

Middling controlTechnical

Drops right offDrops right off

Deep blockSits deeper

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mudryk	Corners L and R, 11 short	54	0.9
Palmer	Corners L and R, 17 short	54	1.2
Gallagher	Corners L and R, 13 short	43	1.3
Palmer	Penalties	9	6.8
Fernández	Penalties	2	1.5
Madueke	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Penalties

39%

Free kicks

21%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 23 short	148	6.1
Pereira	Free kicks	41	0.9
Willian	Corners L and R, 10 short	35	1.2
Robinson

PROCHE set pieces PROFUL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Throw-ins

26%

ChelseaChelsea
1-0
FulhamFulham
Palmer (P) 48'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers