Fulham vs Liverpool preview, 21 Apr 2024: xG form

This match has been played.

See full analysis

LIV favoured away from home, but only just.

FUL28%Draw22%LIV50%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.5Liverpool2.0

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

FUL attack

LW0.29

CF0.74

RW0.32

CAM0.29

CDM0.11

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.08

RB0.11

PROFUL attack report PROLIV defence report

Very low intensityVery high intensity

PROFUL shape report PROLIV shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
Mohamed SalahWG · LIV	--	45%	17%	0.79	100%	Low	0.35
Rodrigo MunizCF · FUL	--	41%	7%	0.69	87%	Medium	0.62
A. IwobiWG · FUL	--	15%	12%	0.37	78%	Low	0.09
C. GakpoCF · LIV	--	13%	3%	0.57	29%	High	0.45
D. SzoboszlaiCM · LIV	--	13%	10%	0.34	72%	Medium	0.03
C. JonesCM · LIV	--	12%	6%	0.31	60%	Medium	0.17

27 more players

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 23 short	148	6.1
Pereira	Free kicks	41	0.9
Willian	Corners L and R, 10 short	35	1.2
Robinson	Throw-ins	18	0.0
Wilson	Corners L and R, 5 short	18	0.4
Willian	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Throw-ins

26%

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Robertson	Corners L and R, 4 short	91	4.1
Alexander-Arnold	Corners L and R, 9 short	71	3.0
Szoboszlai	Corners L and R, 12 short	66	2.1
Salah

PROFUL set pieces PROLIV set pieces

FulhamFulham
1-3
LiverpoolLiverpool
Castagne 46'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers