Fulham vs Tottenham preview, 16 Mar 2024: xG form

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This match has been played.

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FUL favoured at home, but only just.

FUL44%Draw23%TOT34%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.9Tottenham1.6

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

FUL attack

LW0.29

CF0.74

RW0.32

CAM0.29

CDM0.11

CM0.18

LB0.18

CB0.08

RB0.11

PROFUL attack report PROTOT defence report

Very low intensityVery high intensity

PROFUL shape report PROTOT shape report

Premier League 2023/2024

GW29

16 Mar 17:30

R. Jones

TOT attack

LW0.11

CF0.82

RW0.50

CAM0.16

CDM0.16

CM0.42

LB0.11

CB0.18

RB0.05

Last 6, goals vs xG

FUL8 scored from 9.5 xG-1.5

TOT9 scored from 11.4 xG-2.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Deep blockVery high line

Very lightFairly physical

Patient build-upPossession-based

Middling controlVery technical

Drops right offSits off

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Pereira	Corners L and R, 23 short	148	6.1
Pereira	Free kicks	41	0.9
Willian	Corners L and R, 10 short	35	1.2
Robinson	Throw-ins	18	0.0
Wilson	Corners L and R, 5 short	18	0.4
Willian	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Throw-ins

26%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 25 short	99	3.9
Maddison	Corners L and R, 16 short	97	2.2
Maddison	Free kicks	42	1.9
Porro

PROFUL set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

28%

FulhamFulham
3-0
TottenhamTottenham
Muniz 41'
Lukić 48'
Muniz

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers