Luton Town vs Wolverhampton preview, 23 Sep 2023: xG form

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This match has been played.

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Luton Town favoured at home, but only just.

LUT40%Draw24%WOL36%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Luton1.6Wolves1.5

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

Luton Town attack

PROLuton Town attack report PROWOL defence report

Central playVery wide

PROLuton Town shape report PROWOL shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

Luton Town Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Doughty	Corners L and R, 2 short	152	6.2
Doughty	Free kicks	70	1.7
Barkley	Free kicks	43	1.1
Doughty	Throw-ins	16	0.1
Giles	Corners L and R	15	0.4
Morris	Penalties	5	3.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

46%

Throw-ins

21%

WOL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Sarabia	Corners L and R, 6 short	71	3.6
Neto	Corners L and R, 7 short	34	0.7
Sarabia	Free kicks	31	1.8
Sarabia

PROLuton Town set pieces PROWOL set pieces

Luton TownLuton
1-1
WolverhamptonWolves
Morris (P) 64'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers