Manchester City vs West Ham Utd Preview: What the xG Data Says

15306075+4'+5'

1-0

2-0

2-1

3-1

Premier League 2023/2024

GW38

19 May 15:00

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

See full analysis

Pre-Match Signals

WHU build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for MCI

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MCI win 80% at home while WHU win just 18% away. Venue form strongly favours the hosts

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A stark contrast in approach: WHU skip the midfield while MCI control tempo, creating a pattern clash

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Manchester City

Last 10 home games8W · 2D · 0L · 80% wins

Strong at home (clinical finishing)

2.6 goals per game (xG expected: 2.4)

Above expected

0.6 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

Outperforming

West Ham United

Last 11 away games2W · 4D · 5L · 18% wins

Struggling away (wasteful in front of goal)

1.1 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

Below expected

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 2.3)

Outperforming

Player
Haaland MCI	1.02	0.73	3.56	99
Bowen WHU	0.51	0.36	2.13	70
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester City

West Ham United

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MCI(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.34

0.3917th

0.2613th

0.2117th

0.1314th

0.0818th

0.0516th

0.0318th

0.0518th

0.139th

WHU(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

3.00

0.921st

0.393rd

0.504th

0.1612th

0.327th

0.261st

0.0815th

0.243rd

0.138th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did home advantage prove decisive?

Which style came out on top, direct or possession?

Come back after the final whistle.

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Haaland MCI	1.02	0.73	3.56	99
Bowen WHU	0.51	0.36	2.13	70
Wilson WHU	0.80	0.63	2.86	89

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Manchester CityMan City
3-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Foden 1'
Foden 17'
Rodri 58'
2.67-0.49
Kudus 42'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

WHU

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

WHU

WHU

Manchester CityMan City3-1West Ham UtdWest HamFoden 1'Foden 17'Rodri 58'2.67-0.49Kudus 42'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MCI

WHU

WHU

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MCI

WHU

WHU

Manchester CityMan City
3-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Foden 1'
Foden 17'
Rodri 58'
2.67-0.49
Kudus 42'