Manchester Utd vs Luton Town preview, 11 Nov 2023: xG form

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This match has been played.

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MUN clear favourites at home.

MUN58%Draw19%LUT22%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man Utd2.4Luton1.4

A 1.0 xG edge, roughly a three-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

MUN attack

LW0.29

CF0.53

RW0.39

CAM0.29

CDM0.18

CM0.21

LB0.13

CB0.26

RB0.13

PROMUN attack report PROLuton Town defence report

LightPhysically dominant

PROMUN shape report PROLuton Town shape report

Last 6, goals vs xG

MUN10 scored from 11.0 xG-1.0

LUT7 scored from 5.8 xG+1.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Measured riskVery bold

Very scrappyMiddling control

Mid-blockPresses higher

Fairly directVery direct

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Mixed responseCounter-presses

Premier League 2023/2024

GW12

11 Nov 15:00

G. Scott

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 37 short	150	5.9
Fernandes	Free kicks	49	2.8
Eriksen	Corners L and R, 3 short	26	0.5
Shaw	Corners L and R, 4 short	19	0.8
Fernandes	Penalties	5	3.8
Rashford	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Penalties

24%

Luton Town Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Doughty	Corners L and R, 2 short	152	6.2
Doughty	Free kicks	70	1.7
Barkley	Free kicks	43	1.1
Doughty

PROMUN set pieces PROLuton Town set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

46%

Throw-ins

21%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Manchester UtdMan Utd
1-0
Luton TownLuton
Lindelöf 58'

Key players

Set-piece takers