Manchester Utd vs Luton Town Preview: What the xG Data Says

Premier League 2023/2024

11 Nov 15:00

G. Scott

This match has been played.

Pre-Match Signals

Luton Town build from the back against one of the league's more aggressive presses, creating transition opportunities for MUN

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Luton Town concede just NaN xGA per match vs MUN's 0.9. That gap should show in chance quality

FavoursLuton TownSubscribers see the evidence behind this

Manchester United

Last 10 home games6W · 3D · 1L · 60% wins

Solid form

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

1.1 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.0)

On track

Player
Fernandes MUN	0.55	0.16	2.40	84
Mbeumo MUN	0.62	0.25	2.07	93
Baptiste LUT	0.46	0.31	0.59	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester United

Luton Town

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MUN(38 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.42

0.5314th

0.2912th

0.398th

0.297th

0.2112th

0.184th

0.1310th

0.262nd

0.1311th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did the press force the turnovers we expected?

Did the defensive gap show in chance quality?

Come back after the final whistle.

Manchester United form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Player
Fernandes MUN	0.55	0.16	2.40	84
Mbeumo MUN	0.62	0.25	2.07	93
Baptiste LUT	0.46	0.31	0.59	-

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Manchester UtdMan Utd
1-0
Luton TownLuton
Lindelöf 58'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

LUT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

LUT

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

LUT

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Luton Town form

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players who decide this

MUN

MUN

LUT