Manchester Utd vs Newcastle Utd preview, 15 May 2024: xG form

This match has been played.

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NEW favoured away from home, but only just.

MUN37%Draw21%NEW42%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man Utd1.9Newcastle2.0

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

MUN attack

LW0.29

CF0.53

RW0.39

CAM0.29

CDM0.18

CM0.21

LB0.13

CB0.26

RB0.13

PROMUN attack report PRONEW defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PROMUN shape report PRONEW shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
A. GordonWG · NEW	--	34%	18%	0.62	99%	Low	0.35
Bruno FernandesCAM · MUN	--	23%	26%	0.56	100%	Low	0.03
M. RashfordWG · MUN	--	20%	10%	0.47	71%	Medium	0.21
H. BarnesWG · NEW	--	19%	11%	0.59	56%	High	0.58
CasemiroCM · MUN	--	16%	9%	0.31	89%	Medium	0.30
A. DialloWG · MUN	--	15%	7%	0.60	40%	High	0.16

33 more players

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 37 short	150	5.9
Fernandes	Free kicks	49	2.8
Eriksen	Corners L and R, 3 short	26	0.5
Shaw	Corners L and R, 4 short	19	0.8
Fernandes	Penalties	5	3.8
Rashford	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Penalties

24%

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	111	4.1
Trippier	Free kicks	73	3.3
Gordon	Corners L and R, 11 short	48	1.8
Isak

PROMUN set pieces PRONEW set pieces

Manchester UtdMan Utd
3-2
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Mainoo 30'
Diallo 56'
Højlund

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers