Manchester Utd vs Tottenham preview, 14 Jan 2024: xG form

14 Jan 16:30

J. Brooks

This match has been played.

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TOT favoured away from home, but only just.

MUN38%Draw21%TOT41%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Man Utd1.9Tottenham2.0

A 0.1 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

MUN attack

LW0.29

CF0.53

RW0.39

CAM0.29

CDM0.18

CM0.21

LB0.13

CB0.26

RB0.13

PROMUN attack report PROTOT defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PROMUN shape report PROTOT shape report

TOT attack

LW0.11

CF0.82

RW0.50

CAM0.16

CDM0.16

CM0.42

LB0.11

CB0.18

RB0.05

Last 6, goals vs xG

MUN10 scored from 11.0 xG-1.0

TOT9 scored from 11.4 xG-2.4

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Patient build-upFairly direct

Middling controlVery technical

CautiousMeasured risk

Sits offMixed response

Presses higherVery high line

Even widthEven width

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 37 short	150	5.9
Fernandes	Free kicks	49	2.8
Eriksen	Corners L and R, 3 short	26	0.5
Shaw	Corners L and R, 4 short	19	0.8
Fernandes	Penalties	5	3.8
Rashford	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

38%

Penalties

24%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 25 short	99	3.9
Maddison	Corners L and R, 16 short	97	2.2
Maddison	Free kicks	42	1.9
Porro

PROMUN set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

28%

Manchester UtdMan Utd
2-2
TottenhamTottenham
Højlund 2'
Rashford 39'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers