Newcastle Utd vs Tottenham preview, 13 Apr 2024: xG form

This match has been played.

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NEW favoured at home, but only just.

NEW50%Draw21%TOT29%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Newcastle2.2Tottenham1.7

A 0.5 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

NEW attack

LW0.37

CF0.79

RW0.55

CAM0.32

CDM0.00

CM0.29

LB0.11

CB0.11

RB0.11

PRONEW attack report PROTOT defence report

Patient build-upMixed build-up

PRONEW shape report PROTOT shape report

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Player	Rating					Rotation
A. GordonWG · NEW	--	36%	16%	0.65	96%	Low	0.25
RicharlisonCF · TOT	--	21%	5%	0.66	43%	High	0.40
H. BarnesWG · NEW	--	20%	13%	0.66	56%	High	0.26
J. MurphyWG · NEW	--	19%	17%	0.53	76%	Medium	0.13
Bruno GuimarãesCM · NEW	--	16%	17%	0.37	100%	Low	0.02
D. BurnFB · NEW	--	14%	5%	0.21	100%	Low	0.07

39 more players

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	111	4.1
Trippier	Free kicks	73	3.3
Gordon	Corners L and R, 11 short	48	1.8
Isak	Penalties	6	4.6
Wilson	Penalties	2	1.5
Gordon	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

29%

Free kicks

27%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 25 short	99	3.9
Maddison	Corners L and R, 16 short	97	2.2
Maddison	Free kicks	42	1.9
Porro

PRONEW set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Newcastle UtdNewcastle
4-0
TottenhamTottenham
Isak 29'
Gordon 31'
Isak

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers