Tottenham vs Chelsea preview, 6 Nov 2023: xG form

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This match has been played.

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TOT favoured at home, but only just.

TOT50%Draw21%CHE28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Tottenham2.1Chelsea1.6

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

TOT attack

LW0.11

CF0.82

RW0.50

CAM0.16

CDM0.16

CM0.42

LB0.11

CB0.18

RB0.05

PROTOT attack report PROCHE defence report

Sits deeperVery high line

PROTOT shape report PROCHE shape report

Palmer (P) 34'
Jackson 74'
Jackson 93'
Jackson 96'

Premier League 2023/2024

GW11

06 Nov 20:00

M. Oliver

CHE attack

LW0.34

CF0.61

RW0.34

CAM0.18

CDM0.13

CM0.42

LB0.08

CB0.16

RB0.16

Last 6, goals vs xG

TOT9 scored from 11.4 xG-2.4

CHE16 scored from 11.0 xG+5.0

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Low intensityVery high intensity

Very centralEven width

Drops right offSits off

TechnicalVery technical

Very cautiousCautious

Patient build-upPatient build-up

Very lightVery light

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 25 short	99	3.9
Maddison	Corners L and R, 16 short	97	2.2
Maddison	Free kicks	42	1.9
Porro	Free kicks	28	1.1
Kulusevski	Corners L and R, 11 short	20	0.6
Heung-Min	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

28%

CHE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Mudryk	Corners L and R, 11 short	54	0.9
Palmer	Corners L and R, 17 short	54	1.2
Gallagher	Corners L and R, 13 short	43	1.3
Palmer

PROTOT set pieces PROCHE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Penalties

39%

Free kicks

21%

TottenhamTottenham
1-4
ChelseaChelsea
Kulusevski 5'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers