West Ham Utd vs Newcastle Utd preview, 8 Oct 2023: xG form

08 Oct 13:00

P. Bankes

This match has been played.

See full analysis

NEW favoured away from home, but only just.

WHU33%Draw23%NEW44%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

West Ham1.6Newcastle1.8

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

WHU attack

LW0.39

CF0.92

RW0.50

CAM0.16

CDM0.26

CM0.32

LB0.08

CB0.24

RB0.13

PROWHU attack report PRONEW defence report

Low intensityVery high intensity

PROWHU shape report PRONEW shape report

NEW attack

LW0.37

CF0.79

RW0.55

CAM0.32

CDM0.00

CM0.29

LB0.11

CB0.11

RB0.11

Last 6, goals vs xG

WHU8 scored from 8.5 xG-0.5

NEW16 scored from 14.4 xG+1.6

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyTechnical

Sits deeperPresses higher

Sits offCounter-presses

Measured riskTakes risks

LightMiddling physicality

Mixed build-upFairly direct

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Ward-Prowse	Corners L and R, 2 short	119	5.1
Ward-Prowse	Free kicks	64	3.5
Coufal	Throw-ins	56	0.8
Paquetà	Penalties	2	1.5
Ward-Prowse	Penalties	2	1.5
Benrahma	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

40%

Throw-ins

24%

NEW Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Trippier	Corners L and R, 12 short	111	4.1
Trippier	Free kicks	73	3.3
Gordon	Corners L and R, 11 short	48	1.8
Isak

PROWHU set pieces PRONEW set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

29%

Free kicks

27%

West Ham UtdWest Ham
2-2
Newcastle UtdNewcastle
Souček 7'
Kudus 88'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers