Arsenal vs Aston Villa Preview: What the xG Data Says

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Arsenal

Last 10 home games7W · 1D · 2L · 70% wins

Strong at home

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 1.9)

On track

0.9 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.0)

On track

Aston Villa

Last 10 away games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form

1.5 goals per game (xG expected: 1.5)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Arsenal

V. Gyökeres

CF0.61

xGI/90

0.61

Goals vs xG

2G vs 1.7

Assists vs xA

0A vs 0.2

B. Saka

0G 1A0.46 xGI

E. Eze

CAM

1G 0A0.27 xGI

D. Rice

0G 1A0.19 xGI

Aston Villa

O. Watkins

CF0.89

xGI/90

0.89

Goals vs xG

5G vs 4.2

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.0

M. Rogers

CAM

1G 1A0.26 xGI

Player
Saka ARS	0.62	0.25	2.62	98
Havertz ARS	0.78	0.47	2.23	97
Dowman ARS	0.60	0.49	2.87	-

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Arsenal

Aston Villa

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

ARS(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

0.94

0.2918th

0.0020th

0.0619th

0.1218th

0.0020th

0.294th

0.1211th

AVL(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2917th

0.1217th

0.1816th

0.0617th

0.1813th

0.296th

0.128th

0.246th

0.0019th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

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Players to Watch

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

ArsenalArsenal
4-1
Aston VillaVilla
Magalhaes 47'
Zubimendi 51'
Trossard 68'
Jesus

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

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Players to Watch

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Aston Villa formLLLWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

ARS

ARS

ARS