Aston Villa vs Crystal Palace preview, 31 Aug 2025: xG form

Viewing the 2025/26 seasonGo to 2026/27

This match has been played.

See full analysis

AVL favoured at home, but only just.

AVL46%Draw28%CRY26%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Villa1.6C. Palace1.1

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

AVL attack

LW0.12

CF0.29

RW0.18

CAM0.06

CDM0.29

CM0.18

LB0.12

CB0.24

RB0.00

PROAVL attack report PROCRY defence report

Very lightPhysically dominant

PROAVL shape report PROCRY shape report

CRY attack

LW0.18

CF0.47

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.12

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.06

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

AVL13 scored from 10.9 xG+2.1

CRY6 scored from 9.3 xG-3.3

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Drops right offHeavy counter-press

Patient build-upFairly direct

Very scrappyTechnical

Very centralCentral play

Very low intensityLow intensity

Mateta (P) 20'
Guéhi 67'
Sarr 77'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW3

31 Aug 18:00

S. Attwell

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

AVL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Cash	Corners L and R, 4 short	44	1.6
Cash	Throw-ins	41	0.2
Digne	Corners L and R, 9 short	40	2.4
Tielemans	Free kicks	35	0.7
McGinn	Corners L and R, 4 short	28	0.7
Tielemans	Corners L and R, 8 short	26	1.1

Share of set-play xG

Corners

54%

Throw-ins

27%

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Richards	Throw-ins	101	1.1
Lerma	Throw-ins	50	0.4
Wharton	Corners L and R, 1 short	44	1.6
Mateta

PROAVL set pieces PROCRY set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Penalties

24%

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Aston VillaVilla
0-3
Crystal PalaceC. Palace

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers