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See full analysisCan Sunderland defy the xG gap? 4th-placed Aston Villa (1.4 xG/match) host 13th-placed Sunderland (1.0 xG/match). Aston Villa sit on 51 points against 42 expected, suggesting some regression may be due. O. Watkins leads the combined threat with 13.5 xGI in 30 appearances for Aston Villa.
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They're creating more than they're finishing. If conversion regresses to the mean, expect more goals from SUN
FavoursSUNSubscribers see the evidence behind thisA stark contrast in approach: SUN skip the midfield while AVL control tempo, creating a pattern clash
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Aston VillaSolid form (wasteful in front of goal)
SunderlandStruggling away (wasteful in front of goal)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
Aston Villa
SunderlandSee your squad's players in this match
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AVL(17 matches)SUN(17 matches)Aston Villa formIn-form players who could decide this match
N. Sadiki
CM
