Brighton vs Manchester Utd preview, 24 May 2026: xG form

This match has been played.

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MUN favoured away from home, but only just.

BHA35%Draw28%MUN36%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brighton1.4Man Utd1.4

Next to nothing between them on expected goals, this one could go either way.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

BRI attack

LW0.12

CF0.71

RW0.18

CAM0.24

CDM0.06

CM0.24

LB0.12

CB0.06

RB0.06

PROBRI attack report PROMUN defence report

Middling intensityVery high intensity

PROBRI shape report PROMUN shape report

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1Bruno Fernandes(C)MF	£10.3m	44.3%
2B. MbeumoMF	£8.6m	22.2%
3D. WelbeckFW	£4.4m	0.1%

PROFantasy hub, projections

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1Bruno Fernandes(C)MF	£10.3m	44.3%
2B. MbeumoMF	£8.6m	22.2%
3D. WelbeckFW	£4.4m	0.1%

PROFantasy hub, projections

Player	Rating					Rotation
D. WelbeckCF · BRI	7.0#7	25%	6%	0.49	72%	Low	0.39
B. MbeumoCAM · MUN	--	25%	9%	0.49	79%	Medium	0.33
Bruno FernandesCAM · MUN	--	23%	22%	0.51	100%	Low	0.14
Matheus CunhaWG · MUN	--	21%	10%	0.41	84%	Low	0.33
P. GroßCM · BRI	--	20%	14%	0.42	89%	Medium	0.18
Y. MintehWG · BRI	--	18%	13%	0.43	78%	Low	0.12

42 more players

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 4 short	57	1.6
Cuyper	Corners R, 1 short	35	3.4
Minteh	Corners L and R, 7 short	31	0.6
Welbeck	Penalties	3	2.3
O'Riley	Penalties	1	0.8
Milner	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Penalties

21%

MUN Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Fernandes	Corners L and R, 8 short	90	4.4
Fernandes	Free kicks	70	2.3
Mbeumo	Corners R, 5 short	49	2.4
Dalot

PROBRI set pieces PROMUN set pieces

BrightonBrighton
0-3
Manchester UtdMan Utd

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Brighton formWLWWW

Manchester United formWLWDL

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers