Brighton vs West Ham Utd preview, 7 Dec 2025: xG form

07 Dec 14:00

S. Hooper

This match has been played.

See full analysis

BRI favoured at home, but only just.

BHA45%Draw28%WHU27%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Brighton1.6West Ham1.2

A 0.4 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

BRI attack

LW0.12

CF0.71

RW0.18

CAM0.24

CDM0.06

CM0.24

LB0.12

CB0.06

RB0.06

PROBRI attack report PROWHU defence report

Very low intensityVery high intensity

PROBRI shape report PROWHU shape report

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

BHA9 scored from 11.2 xG-2.2

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Very scrappyTechnical

Sits deeperVery high line

Very lightFairly physical

Possession-basedFairly direct

Counter-pressesCounter-presses

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

BRI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Groß	Corners L and R, 4 short	57	1.6
Cuyper	Corners R, 1 short	35	3.4
Minteh	Corners L and R, 7 short	31	0.6
Welbeck	Penalties	3	2.3
O'Riley	Penalties	1	0.8
Milner	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

47%

Penalties

21%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts

PROBRI set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

BrightonBrighton
1-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham
Rutter 90'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers