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See full analysisLow xG on both sides suggests a tight tactical battle 19th-placed Burnley (0.9 xG/match) host 12th-placed Brighton (1.4 xG/match). Brighton's defence (1.5 xGA/match) has been sturdier than Burnley's attack warrants, which could frustrate the hosts. D. Welbeck leads the combined threat with 10.5 xGI in 30 appearances for Brighton.
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BRI concede just 1.3 xGA per match vs BUR's 2.3. That gap should show in chance quality
FavoursBRISubscribers see the evidence behind thisBRI's clean sheet rate of 50% meets an attack generating just 1.1 xG per match
FavoursBRISubscribers see the evidence behind thisThree straight wins and the underlying data supports the run, not just results
FavoursBRISubscribers see the evidence behind this
BurnleyStruggling at home (wasteful in front of goal)
BrightonSolid form (wasteful in front of goal)
How these teams play and where the match could be decided
Burnley
BrightonSee your squad's players in this match
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BUR(17 matches)BRI(17 matches)Burnley formIn-form players who could decide this match
J. Hinshelwood
CAM
