Chelsea 1-3 Brighton Match Context & xG Analysis 25/26 (27 Sep 2025)

Pre-Match Signals(2 detected)

Match Context

League standings, head-to-head and recent form

#		Team	P	Pts
5	5	Chelsea	19	30	+11
14	113	Brighton	19	25	+1

Chelsea

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.3 goals per match (expected 1.7)
•Conceding 1.5 goals per match (expected 2.1)

Brighton

Wasteful in front of goalDefence outperforming xGA

•Scoring 1.2 goals per match (expected 1.8)
•Conceding 1.8 goals per match (expected 2.1)

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-basedDirect

Low BlockHigh Press

Chelsea

Brighton

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

CHE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.71

0.598th

0.1218th

0.1817th

0.0618th

0.296th

0.0620th

0.129th

0.189th

0.1210th

BRI(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.76

0.714th

0.1216th

0.1814th

0.247th

0.0619th

0.127th

0.0616th

0.0614th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did either team exceed their expected xG range?

Did finishing variance continue or regress?

Who controlled the tempo: Chelsea or Brighton?

Return after full-time to see how these played out.

Create free account View example post-match

ChelseaChelsea 1 - 3 BrightonBrighton

Expected Goals

Pre-Match Signals(2 detected)

Match Context

League Positions

Expected Goals

Tactical Analysis

Chelsea

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

After the match, we'll check

Head to Head

Recent Form

Brighton

Players to Watch