Crystal Palace vs Brentford preview, 1 Nov 2025: xG form

01 Nov 15:00

P. Bankes

This match has been played.

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CRY favoured at home, but only just.

CRY43%Draw29%BRE28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

C. Palace1.5Brentford1.2

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

CRY attack

LW0.18

CF0.47

RW0.24

CAM0.24

CDM0.12

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.06

RB0.06

PROCRY attack report PROBRE defence report

Very scrappyMiddling control

PROCRY shape report PROBRE shape report

BRE attack

LW0.24

CF0.76

RW0.41

CAM0.24

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.00

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

CRY6 scored from 9.3 xG-3.3

BRE7 scored from 9.2 xG-2.2

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Low intensityMiddling intensity

Deep blockSits deeper

Central playEven width

Takes risksTakes risks

Physically dominantPhysically dominant

Fairly directVery direct

Heavy counter-pressHeavy counter-press

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

CRY Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Richards	Throw-ins	101	1.1
Lerma	Throw-ins	50	0.4
Wharton	Corners L and R, 1 short	44	1.6
Mateta	Penalties	4	3.0
Sarr	Penalties	3	2.3
Devenny	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

49%

Penalties

24%

BRE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Kayode	Throw-ins	170	3.3
Jensen	Corners L and R, 4 short	65	3.0
Damsgaard	Corners L and R, 6 short	44	2.6
Janelt

PROCRY set pieces PROBRE set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

32%

Throw-ins

28%

Crystal PalaceC. Palace
2-0
BrentfordBrentford
Mateta 29'
Collins (OG) 50'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers