Everton vs Fulham preview, 8 Nov 2025: xG form

08 Nov 15:00

A. Madley

This match has been played.

See full analysis

EVE favoured at home, but only just.

EVE42%Draw30%FUL29%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.4Fulham1.1

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

EVE attack

LW0.06

CF0.47

RW0.35

CAM0.12

CDM0.18

CM0.24

LB0.18

CB0.29

RB0.29

PROEVE attack report PROFUL defence report

Deep blockPresses higher

PROEVE shape report PROFUL shape report

FUL attack

LW0.31

CF0.25

RW0.38

CAM0.44

CDM0.31

CM0.31

LB0.06

CB0.19

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

EVE8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

FUL4 scored from 7.8 xG-3.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Drops right offCounter-presses

Middling physicalityPhysically dominant

Possession-basedVery direct

Central playWide play

Very low intensityMiddling intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Garner	Corners L and R, 8 short	107	4.7
O'Brien	Throw-ins	59	0.4
Garner	Free kicks	56	1.6
Mykolenko	Throw-ins	51	0.6
Dewsbury-Hall	Corners R, 1 short	43	1.9
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

26%

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Wilson	Corners L and R, 14 short	68	3.5
Lukić	Corners L and R, 9 short	53	1.7
Iwobi	Corners L and R, 5 short	42	2.3
Wilson

PROEVE set pieces PROFUL set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

25%

EvertonEverton
2-0
FulhamFulham
Gueye 48'
Keane 80'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers