Everton vs Manchester City preview, 4 May 2026: xG form

This match has been played.

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MCI favoured away from home, but only just.

EVE31%Draw27%MCI42%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Everton1.3Man City1.6

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

EVE attack

LW0.06

CF0.47

RW0.35

CAM0.12

CDM0.18

CM0.24

LB0.18

CB0.29

RB0.29

PROEVE attack report PROMCI defence report

Very cautiousVery bold

PROEVE shape report PROMCI shape report

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1A. Semenyo(C)MF	£8.2m	53.6%
2R. CherkiMF	£6.3m	6.9%
3E. HaalandFW	£14.5m	54.9%

PROFantasy hub, projections

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1A. Semenyo(C)MF	£8.2m	53.6%
2R. CherkiMF	£6.3m	6.9%
3E. HaalandFW	£14.5m	54.9%

PROFantasy hub, projections

Player	Rating					Rotation
E. HaalandCF · MCI	8.8#1	34%	4%	0.66	69%	Medium	0.58
T. BarryCF · EVE	6.2#16	25%	6%	0.48	73%	High	1.41
I. NdiayeWG · EVE	--	20%	11%	0.37	91%	Low	0.29
A. SemenyoWG · MCI	--	20%	7%	0.39	74%	Medium	0.31
BetoCF · EVE	6.8-	17%	2%	0.65	32%	High	0.37
R. CherkiCAM · MCI	--	13%	16%	0.53	59%	High	0.43

45 more players

EVE Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Garner	Corners L and R, 8 short	107	4.7
O'Brien	Throw-ins	59	0.4
Garner	Free kicks	56	1.6
Mykolenko	Throw-ins	51	0.6
Dewsbury-Hall	Corners R, 1 short	43	1.9
Ndiaye	Penalties	2	1.5

Share of set-play xG

Corners

43%

Throw-ins

26%

MCI Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Foden	Corners L and R, 5 short	91	3.1
Cherki	Corners L and R, 8 short	54	1.8
Silva	Corners L and R, 18 short	47	1.6
Reijnders

PROEVE set pieces PROMCI set pieces

EvertonEverton
3-3
Manchester CityMan City
Barry 67'
O'Brien 72'
Barry

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Everton formWWLWD

Manchester City formWWDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers