Everton vs Nottingham Forest Preview: What the xG Data Says

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Pre-Match Signals

EVE concede disproportionate xG through their right side, exactly where NFO focus their attacks

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Everton

Last 10 home games3W · 2D · 5L · 30% wins

Solid form

1.4 goals per game (xG expected: 1.3)

On track

1.4 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.3)

On track

Nottingham Forest

Last 10 away games4W · 1D · 5L · 40% wins

Solid form (clinical finishing)

1.3 goals per game (xG expected: 1.0)

Above expected

1.5 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

Above expected

Players to Watch

In-form players who could decide this match

Everton

T. Barry

CF0.48

xGI/90

0.48

Goals vs xG

1G vs 1.8

Assists vs xA

0A vs 0.4

Beto

1G 0A0.65 xGI

I. Ndiaye

0G 0A0.29 xGI

I. Gueye

0G 2A0.35 xGI

Nottingham Forest

Igor Jesus

CF0.48

xGI/90

0.48

Goals vs xG

2G vs 1.9

Assists vs xA

1A vs 0.2

M. Gibbs-White

CAM

4G 0A0.39 xGI

Player
Beto EVE	0.50	0.47	1.75	66
Wood NFO	0.47	0.41	1.58	81
Awoniyi NFO	0.50	0.41	1.94	15

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Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Everton

Nottingham Forest

Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

EVE(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.18

0.4713th

0.0619th

0.3510th

0.1216th

0.2410th

0.1815th

0.185th

0.292nd

0.293rd

NFO(16 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.13

0.5011th

0.318th

0.387th

0.1314th

0.1911th

0.258th

0.0610th

0.1310th

0.195th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

EvertonEverton
3-0
Nottingham ForestForest
Milenković (OG) 1'
Barry 47'
Dewsbury-Hall 80'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

EVE

NFO

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

EVE

NFO

NFO

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

EVE

NFO

NFO

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Positional Vulnerabilities

Style and key characteristics

Questions for after full-time

Nottingham Forest formLDDWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Players to Watch

Players who decide this

EVE

NFO

NFO