Fulham vs Bournemouth preview, 9 May 2026: xG form

This match has been played.

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FUL favoured at home, but only just.

FUL40%Draw28%BOU33%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.5Bournemouth1.4

A 0.2 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

FUL attack

LW0.31

CF0.25

RW0.38

CAM0.44

CDM0.31

CM0.31

LB0.06

CB0.19

RB0.06

PROFUL attack report PROBOU defence report

Drops right offHeavy counter-press

PROFUL shape report PROBOU shape report

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1H. Wilson(C)MF	£6.1m	25%
2EvanilsonFW	£6.8m	2.2%
3M. TavernierMF	£5.4m	2.1%

PROFantasy hub, projections

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Suggested picks

Player	Price	Owned
1H. Wilson(C)MF	£6.1m	25%
2EvanilsonFW	£6.8m	2.2%
3M. TavernierMF	£5.4m	2.1%

PROFantasy hub, projections

Player	Rating					Rotation
EvanilsonCF · BOU	6.3#15	30%	6%	0.47	89%	Low	0.41
R. JiménezCF · FUL	6.0#18	25%	6%	0.50	69%	Medium	0.77
M. TavernierWG · BOU	--	20%	11%	0.41	83%	Low	0.14
H. WilsonWG · FUL	--	17%	9%	0.42	67%	Low	0.21
RayanWG · BOU	--	17%	9%	0.40	69%	Medium	0.14
S. ChukwuezeWG · FUL	--	16%	10%	0.43	63%	High	0.00

43 more players

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Wilson	Corners L and R, 14 short	68	3.5
Lukić	Corners L and R, 9 short	53	1.7
Iwobi	Corners L and R, 5 short	42	2.3
Wilson	Free kicks	24	0.2
Jiménez	Penalties	4	3.0
Robinson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

25%

BOU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Hill	Throw-ins	64	0.7
Tavernier	Corners L and R, 18 short	62	2.1
Scott	Corners L and R, 2 short	56	1.4
Semenyo

PROFUL set pieces PROBOU set pieces

FulhamFulham
0-1
BournemouthBournemouth

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Style ranks

What this match is worth to you

Form & Head-to-head

Fulham formWLDWL

Bournemouth formDDDDW

Head-to-head · last 5

Model accuracy

What this match is worth to you

Key players

Set-piece takers