Fulham vs Tottenham preview, 1 Mar 2026: xG form

01 Mar 14:00

T. Bramall

This match has been played.

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FUL favoured at home, but only just.

FUL43%Draw29%TOT28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.4Tottenham1.1

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

FUL attack

LW0.31

CF0.25

RW0.38

CAM0.44

CDM0.31

CM0.31

LB0.06

CB0.19

RB0.06

PROFUL attack report PROTOT defence report

Very low intensityVery high intensity

PROFUL shape report PROTOT shape report

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

Last 6, goals vs xG

FUL4 scored from 7.8 xG-3.8

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Central playVery wide

Deep blockSits deeper

Middling physicalityFairly physical

Drops right offSits off

Possession-basedMixed build-up

CautiousMeasured risk

Middling controlTechnical

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Wilson	Corners L and R, 14 short	68	3.5
Lukić	Corners L and R, 9 short	53	1.7
Iwobi	Corners L and R, 5 short	42	2.3
Wilson	Free kicks	24	0.2
Jiménez	Penalties	4	3.0
Robinson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

25%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel

PROFUL set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

FulhamFulham
2-1
TottenhamTottenham
Wilson 6'
Iwobi 33'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers