Fulham vs West Ham Utd preview, 4 Mar 2026: xG form

04 Mar 19:30

M. Donohue

This match has been played.

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FUL favoured at home, but only just.

FUL43%Draw28%WHU28%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Fulham1.5West Ham1.2

A 0.3 xG edge, roughly a two-in-five win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

FUL attack

LW0.31

CF0.25

RW0.38

CAM0.44

CDM0.31

CM0.31

LB0.06

CB0.19

RB0.06

PROFUL attack report PROWHU defence report

CautiousVery bold

PROFUL shape report PROWHU shape report

WHU attack

LW0.59

CF0.53

RW0.35

CAM0.35

CDM0.35

CM0.29

LB0.18

CB0.53

RB0.06

Last 6, goals vs xG

FUL4 scored from 7.8 xG-3.8

WHU6 scored from 10.9 xG-4.9

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Drops right offCounter-presses

Very scrappyTechnical

Central playWide play

Possession-basedFairly direct

Very lightMiddling physicality

Deep blockSits deeper

Very low intensityVery low intensity

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

FUL Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Wilson	Corners L and R, 14 short	68	3.5
Lukić	Corners L and R, 9 short	53	1.7
Iwobi	Corners L and R, 5 short	42	2.3
Wilson	Free kicks	24	0.2
Jiménez	Penalties	4	3.0
Robinson	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Corners

45%

Throw-ins

25%

WHU Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Bowen	Corners R	57	3.8
Fernandes	Free kicks	48	1.0
Summerville	Corners L, 3 short	30	1.8
Potts

PROFUL set pieces PROWHU set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

56%

Free kicks

17%

FulhamFulham
0-1
West Ham UtdWest Ham

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers