Liverpool vs Tottenham preview, 15 Mar 2026: xG form

15 Mar 16:30

C. Kavanagh

This match has been played.

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LIV favoured at home, but only just.

LIV49%Draw27%TOT24%

Based on 76 matches played this season.

Liverpool1.7Tottenham1.1

A 0.6 xG edge, roughly a one-in-two win.

Each side's share of attacking actions down the left, centre and right, on a pitch map.After gameweek 1

LIV attack

LW0.29

CF0.35

RW0.41

CAM0.18

CDM0.24

CM0.29

LB0.29

CB0.12

RB0.18

PROLIV attack report PROTOT defence report

Very lightFairly physical

PROLIV shape report PROTOT shape report

TOT attack

LW0.59

CF0.35

RW0.18

CAM0.35

CDM0.29

CM0.06

LB0.06

CB0.18

RB0.12

Last 6, goals vs xG

LIV11 scored from 9.9 xG+1.1

TOT8 scored from 8.8 xG-0.8

32%called correctly

Error score

3% better than guessing the usual home, draw and away split

0.212 against 0.218 for the guess. Lower is better.

Confidence vs realitySaid · got

33-50%

27%·41

50-60%

40%·5

60-70%

67%·3

70-80%

100%·1

Bar is what happened, tick is what the model said. Samples are small this early.

Last 50 settled matchesAccuracy ledger

Sits deeperVery high line

Patient build-upMixed build-up

Middling controlVery technical

Very cautiousMeasured risk

High intensityVery high intensity

Sits offMixed response

Both squads ranked by each player's chance of scoring in this fixture, with assist chance, xGI/90 and projected minutes.When the gameweek is set

LIV Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Szoboszlai	Corners L and R, 12 short	105	4.2
Salah	Corners R, 6 short	58	1.7
Szoboszlai	Free kicks	55	1.5
Gakpo	Corners L and R	32	1.2
Salah	Penalties	1	0.8
Szoboszlai	Penalties	1	0.8

Share of set-play xG

Throw-ins

39%

Corners

36%

TOT Player	Routine	Taken	xG
Porro	Corners L and R, 8 short	73	3.5
Porro	Free kicks	50	1.6
Kudus	Corners R, 5 short	49	1.5
Tel

PROLIV set pieces PROTOT set pieces

Share of set-play xG

Corners

64%

Throw-ins

28%

LiverpoolLiverpool
1-1
TottenhamTottenham
Szoboszlai 17'

Model verdict

Projected xG

Attacking zones vs vulnerabilities

Position vs Expected Position

Style ranks

Form & Head-to-head

Model accuracy

Key players

Set-piece takers