Manchester Utd vs Aston Villa Preview: What the xG Data Says

Man Utd

3-11.51-1.13

Villa

Casemiro 52'
Cunha 70'
Šeško 80'

Barkley 63'

Premier League 2025/2026

GW30

15 Mar 14:00

A. Taylor

This match has been played.

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Pre-Match Signals

Neither side keeps clean sheets regularly (17% and 17%). Both create enough chances to score

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Manchester United

Last 10 home games6W · 3D · 1L · 60% wins

Solid form

2.0 goals per game (xG expected: 2.0)

On track

1.2 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.2)

On track

Aston Villa

Last 10 away games4W · 3D · 3L · 40% wins

Solid form

1.5 goals per game (xG expected: 1.5)

On track

1.7 conceded per game (xGA expected: 1.8)

On track

Tactical Analysis

How these teams play and where the match could be decided

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester United

Aston Villa

Possession-based ↔ Direct

Low Block ↔ High Press

Conservative ↔ Risk-taking

Central Play ↔ Wide Play

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Least vulnerable Average Most vulnerable

MUN(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

2.71

0.716th

0.594th

0.2413th

0.249th

0.1814th

0.297th

0.186th

0.1215th

0.188th

AVL(17 matches)

Σ GI

CAM

CDM

1.47

0.2917th

0.1217th

0.1816th

0.0617th

0.1813th

0.296th

0.128th

0.246th

0.0019th

GI = Goals + Assists / matchxG = Expected Goals / matchxT = Expected Threat / match

Did both teams find the net as expected?

Did either side beat their xG?

Come back after the final whistle.

Manchester United form

Scrappy ↔ Technical

Light ↔ Physically Dominant

Sit Off ↔ Counter-Press

Low Intensity ↔ High Intensity

Manchester UtdMan Utd
3-1
Aston VillaVilla
Casemiro 52'
Cunha 70'
Šeško 80'

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Position vs Expected Position

Form & Head-to-head

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Pre-Match Signals

Venue Form

Tactical Analysis

Style and key characteristics

Intensity, discipline, and resilience

Attacking Zones

Style and key characteristics

Positional Vulnerabilities

Questions for after full-time

Aston Villa formLLLWD

Head-to-head · last 5

Intensity, discipline, and resilience